Posted by Adam Chahl on Tuesday, September 17th, 2024 11:14pm.
The Canadian government recently announced significant changes to mortgage rules, aimed at increasing homeownership accessibility. While these changes are expected to spark greater demand among potential homebuyers, experts caution that supply challenges continue to plague Canada’s housing market.
In an effort to address the growing housing crisis, Ottawa introduced mortgage rule changes set to take effect in December. These reforms include raising the price cap for insured mortgages and expanding 30-year mortgage amortization options. These are the first major mortgage reforms in over a decade.
One of the central features of the new mortgage rules is the increase in the price cap for insured mortgages, which will allow more potential buyers to qualify.
The current price cap of $1 million has remained unchanged since 2012. However, under the new rules, this cap will rise to $1.5 million, allowing a broader range of buyers to qualify for an insured mortgage with a down payment of less than 20%. This increase reflects the skyrocketing home prices in major Canadian cities.
For potential homebuyers, particularly those in high-demand urban areas, the higher price cap is expected to open doors that were previously shut. In cities like Toronto and Vancouver, where home prices often exceed $1 million, this change will be especially significant for middle-income families seeking to enter the housing market.
Another key component of the new mortgage rules is the expansion of the 30-year amortization period.
This extension applies to first-time buyers who might otherwise struggle to afford homes in competitive markets. By stretching mortgage payments over a longer period, monthly payments will become more manageable, making homeownership more accessible for younger buyers.
In addition to first-time buyers, anyone purchasing a newly built home can take advantage of the 30-year amortization option. This move is aimed at encouraging the construction and purchase of new homes, potentially easing some of the pressure on the housing market.
Reactions to these mortgage rule changes have been mixed, with some experts praising the government for addressing affordability concerns while others express caution.
Lauren van den Berg, president of Mortgage Professionals Canada, welcomed the changes, noting the pent-up demand in the market. She believes the new rules will provide much-needed relief for those who had previously been priced out of the housing market.
Not all experts are optimistic. Desjardins chief economist Jimmy Jean described the changes as a “debt finance solution to affordability,” warning that while it may appear homes are more affordable, buyers will ultimately pay more interest over the life of their mortgage. His concerns highlight the long-term financial implications for Canadians taking on larger debts.
While the mortgage rule changes will likely stimulate demand, they do little to address Canada’s ongoing housing supply challenges.
The core issue facing the market remains a lack of available housing to meet growing demand. Despite efforts to build more homes, the gap between demand and supply continues to widen, particularly in fast-growing urban areas.
The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) predicts that Canada will need an additional 3.5 million housing units by 2030 to restore affordability. This is on top of the 2.3 million homes already projected to be built. Meeting these ambitious targets will require a concerted effort from both the public and private sectors.
The increased demand generated by the mortgage rule changes may have far-reaching economic implications, both positive and negative.
While more buyers entering the market could help revitalize the housing sector, it could also push home prices even higher, exacerbating the affordability crisis. As more people qualify for mortgages, competition for a limited number of homes is likely to intensify, driving prices upward.
With longer amortization periods and larger mortgages, concerns about rising household debt are also on the rise. As buyers take on more debt to afford homes, there are growing fears that Canadians could become over-leveraged, especially if interest rates increase in the future.
Many experts agree that, while demand-side measures like mortgage rule changes can help, the real solution lies in increasing housing supply.
To meet the demand sparked by the mortgage rule changes, the government will need to implement new policies aimed at boosting housing construction. This includes incentivizing developers to build more homes and streamlining the approval process for new housing projects.
However, addressing the supply issue is not as simple as increasing construction. As Jimmy Jean pointed out, building millions of new homes will require a significant reallocation of labour and capital resources. This could lead to shortages in other sectors of the economy, as more workers and materials are diverted to the housing industry.
Ottawa’s changes to mortgage rules are a step in the right direction for increasing homeownership accessibility. However, without addressing the core supply challenges, these reforms may only exacerbate the current affordability crisis. While the changes will likely stimulate demand, the long-term solution lies in building more homes to meet that demand.
First-time buyers will benefit from both the higher price cap and the expansion of 30-year mortgage amortizations, making homeownership more affordable and accessible.
The new price cap for insured mortgages has been raised to $1.5 million from the previous limit of $1 million.
Yes, by allowing buyers to spread mortgage payments over a longer period, monthly payments will be lower, making homeownership more affordable.
The primary challenge is the lack of available homes to meet the growing demand, with Canada needing an additional 3.5 million housing units by 2030.
While the changes will likely boost demand in the housing market, they could also lead to rising home prices and increased household debt, with potential long-term economic consequences.