Found 3 blog entries tagged as economic outlook.

Date: July 11, 2025

Canadian employment increased by 0.4 per cent from the previous month, gaining 83,000 jobs to reach 21.061 million in June. The employment rate rose by 0.1 points to 60.9 per cent, while the unemployment rate fell by 0.1 points to 6.9 per cent.

Average hourly wages rose 3.2 per cent year-over-year to $36.01 last month, while total hours worked increased by 1.6 per cent compared to June of the previous year.

Provincial Highlights: British Columbia

Employment in B.C. rose by 0.2 per cent to 2.968 million, gaining 5,000 jobs in June. Employment in Metro Vancouver rose by 1.1 per cent to 1.735 million.

The unemployment rate in B.C. fell by 0.8 points to 5.6 per cent, while Vancouver's unemployment rate fell by 0.6…

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Canadian employment was virtually unchanged from the previous month, gaining 8,800 jobs to reach 20.978 million in May. The employment rate held steady at 60.8%, while the unemployment rate increased by 0.1 points to 7.0%.

Average hourly wages saw a 3.4% year-over-year increase, rising to $36.14 in May. Additionally, the total hours worked rose by 0.9% compared to May of the previous year.

British Columbia Employment

Employment in B.C. rose by 0.4% to 2.963 million, with a gain of 13,000 jobs in May. In Metro Vancouver, employment increased by 0.9% to 1.715 million.

Despite job gains, the unemployment rate in B.C. rose by 0.2 points to 6.4%, while Vancouver's unemployment rate climbed 0.3 points to 6.6%.

Market Implications

May's…

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The Bank of Canada held its overnight policy rate at 2.75 per cent this morning. In the statement accompanying the decision, the Bank noted that pervasive uncertainty makes it unusually challenging to project GDP growth and inflation in Canada.

The Bank sees two potential scenarios for the Canadian economy:

  • High but limited tariffs that temporarily weaken growth
  • A protracted trade war that causes both a full recession and inflation to rise above 3 per cent

The Bank is already seeing signs of a slower economy due to the impact of uncertainty on consumer and business confidence. However, it expects tariff-driven supply chain disruptions will put upward pressure on prices later this year.

Perhaps most importantly, the Bank ended its…

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