Economic Insights from Dr. Sherry Cooper - January 2025
Posted by Adam Chahl on
There is an unprecedented disparity between the economic and financial situation in the US and Canada. The Canadian economy is far more interest-sensitive than the US and, therefore, slowed more dramatically in response to the Bank of Canada’s restrictive policy to bring inflation back to its 2% target level.
The jobless rate in Canada has reached 6.5%, well above the level in the US, and job vacancy rates have plummeted. Wage inflation has been sticky at 4.9% but will likely edge downward in response to excess supply in the labor market.
Inflation accelerated to 2% y/y in October, compared to the cycle-low 1.6% in September, mainly because gasoline price deflation slowed. The odds of another 50 bps rate cut by the central bank—on the…
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