Public Sector Leads Job Growth in November, Adding 45,000 New Positions

Before the release of today's Canadian Labour Force Data, the odds favoured a 25 basis point drop in the overnight policy rate when the Bank of Canada meets again on December 11th. The data showed more substantial than expected job creation, as the country added 51,000 net new positions in November compared to the expected rise of 25,000. However, nearly 90% of the job growth was in the public sector, dampening enthusiasm.

Public sector employment rose by 45,000 (+1.0%) in November and accounted for the majority of the overall employment gain in the month. The number of private sector employees and the number of self-employed people were both little changed in November.

The…

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There is an unprecedented disparity between the economic and financial situation in the US and Canada. The Canadian economy is far more interest-sensitive than the US and, therefore, slowed more dramatically in response to the Bank of Canada’s restrictive policy to bring inflation back to its 2% target level.

Job Market and Wage Inflation

The jobless rate in Canada has reached 6.5%, well above the level in the US, and job vacancy rates have plummeted. Wage inflation has been sticky at 4.9% but will likely edge downward in response to excess supply in the labour market.

Inflation Trends and Monetary Policy

Inflation accelerated to 2% y/y in October, compared to the cycle-low 1.6% in September, mainly because gasoline price deflation…

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As the new year approaches, it's a natural time to reflect on our personal goals and set resolutions for the months ahead. Your home and finances are key areas where small, intentional changes can lead to big improvements in security, stability, and quality of life.

Create a Realistic Home Budget

A well-planned budget is essential for financial peace of mind. Whether you're new to budgeting or want to refine your approach, creating a realistic budget helps prioritize spending, track bills, and put money toward meaningful goals.

  • Identify Fixed and Variable Expenses: List out fixed costs, like mortgage payments, utilities, and insurance, as well as variable ones, such as groceries and entertainment.
  • Set Savings Goals: Include savings as a…

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Fraser Valley Home Sales Returning to Seasonal Norms in November After October Surge

SURREY, BC – Following a healthy boost in sales in October, Fraser Valley home sales dropped in November as slower seasonal buying trends set in amid balanced market conditions.

The Fraser Valley Real Estate Board recorded 1,136 sales in November, down 15 per cent from October, but 28 per cent above November 2023 sales.

“Buying and selling activity is typically quiet at this time of year,” said Jeff Chadha, Chair of the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board. “But it’s worth noting that November 2024 sales are higher than they’ve been compared to the past two November — a sign that overall activity is picking up in the Fraser Valley and with it, growing buyer…

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Home Buyer Demand Continues to Strengthen in November

VANCOUVER, BC – December 3, 2024

Home sales registered in the MLS® in the Metro Vancouver market rose 28 percent year-over-year in November, building on the momentum of the 30 percent year-over-year increase seen in October.

The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports that residential sales in the region totaled 2,181 in November 2024, a 28.1 per cent increase from the 1,702 sales recorded in November 2023. This was 12.8 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (2,500).

“When we saw demand pick up in October, there was still a question over whether it was a blip in the data or the start of an emerging trend,” said Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics. “While…

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Housing Markets Post Strong Rebound in October

Vancouver, BC – November 25, 2024. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that 7,119 residential unit sales were recorded in Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) Systems in October 2024, up 33.5 per cent from October 2023. The average MLS® residential price in BC in October 2024 was up 0.3 per cent at $970,845 compared to an average price of $968,256 in October 2023.

The total sales dollar volume was $6.9 billion, a 33.8 per cent increase from the same time the previous year. BC MLS® unit sales were eight per cent lower than the ten-year average for October.

“While it took longer than expected, a recovery in home sales to more normal levels has seemingly arrived,” said BCREA…

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Canadian Retail Sales (September 2024)

Date: November 22, 2024

Canadian retail sales rose 0.4 per cent to $66.9 billion in September from the previous month. Compared to the same time last year, retail sales are up by 0.8 per cent. Furthermore, core retail sales, which exclude gasoline and automobile items, rose by 1.4 per cent month-over-month. In volume terms, adjusted for rising prices, retail sales rose 0.8 per cent in September.

For the third quarter of 2024, retail sales rose by 0.9 per cent overall and by 1.3 per cent in volume terms.

Regional Performance

Retail sales in British Columbia were up 0.6 per cent in September month-over-month, while down 0.5 per cent compared to the same time last year. In the CMA of Vancouver,…

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October Inflation Rose to 2.0% As Gasoline Price Declines Were More Muted

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.0% year-over-year in October, up from a 1.6% increase in September. Gasoline prices fell to a lesser extent in October (-4.0%) compared with September (-10.7%). The all-items CPI, excluding gasoline, rose 2.2% in October, the same growth rate as in August and September.

The smaller decline is partly attributed to a base-year effect, as prices fell 6.4% month over month in October 2023, stemming from lower refining margins and weaker global oil consumption.

On a monthly basis, prices for gasoline were up 0.7% in October, following a 7.1% decline in September.

Slower Rise in Shelter Prices

Shelter price growth continued to…

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The Canadian Housing Market Shows Signs of Life

Canadian home sales surged to their highest level in more than two years as the Bank of Canada cut interest rates, bringing buyers back into the market. Home sales rose 7.7% month-over-month (m/m) in October, reaching their highest level since April 2022.

Rising home sales were broadly based, with the Greater Toronto Area and British Columbia's Lower Mainland recording double-digit increases in October. The buoyant housing demand was likely the result of the surge in new listings in recent months and the fall in mortgage rates arising from the BoC's easing. The jumbo rate cut, however, was in the last week of October, likely having little bearing on the monthly data released by the Canadian Real…

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Rising Home Sales: A Sign of Market Shift in the Fraser Valley?

SURREY, BC – Home sales in the Fraser Valley increased for the first time in five months following a sizable interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada in October.

The Fraser Valley Real Estate Board recorded 1,330 sales in October, up 35 per cent from September, and 37 per cent year-over-year.

“After waiting it out on the sidelines for a number of months, buyers seem to be finally responding to the series of successive rate cuts by the Bank of Canada,” said Jeff Chadha, Chair of the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board. “Whether this is an indication of further sales trends, remains to be seen, especially as the feds eye a possible additional cut before year-end.”

New listings…

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